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By Neville Brown

This evaluation of the hot scenario proposes a broader remit for strategic reports than ever sooner than. a main predicament is that area no longer be weaponised in pursuance of missile defence.The interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq are assessed. The Holy Land, Southern Africa, Indonesia, China and the Arctic also are foci of distinct situation. different subject matters contain 'terror' redefined; deadly lasers; inner hands keep watch over; neighborhood pacts; Marshall Plans; weather switch; instabilities in complex societies; a two-tier european; pre-emption doctrine; and area exploration.

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Extra resources for Global Instability and Strategic Crisis (Routledge Advances in International Relations and Global Politics)

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By 1969, those predictions had already been exceeded across the board, and no metals famine was anywhere in sight. 5 Climate fluctuations also bore upon geopolitical developments. Around 1940, the secular rise in global temperatures the previous two centuries suddenly gave way, in the Northern Hemisphere at least, to what proved a moderate and transient reversal. Thus air temperatures averagely 5 to 8° Celsius below the secular seasonal norms ravaged the offensive a huge but purge-wracked Soviet army so ponderously waged against Finland from November 1939 to March 1940 (see Chapter 1, Explosive excision).

The real danger had to be her lurching too far towards the ultraradical Right: crudely nativistic, often fundamentalist, phobically antilibertarian, dismissively anti-European, obsessively anti-Chinese, meanly antiplanetary, quasi-millenarian… For my generation at least, there was a disturbing precedent from our formative years (see the Preface). It was the so-called ‘McCarthy era’ from 1950 to 1954. An undistinguished ‘junior Senator from Wisconsin’, Joseph McCarthy (1908–57) suddenly emerged as terrorizer supreme within the body politic, this via endless wild assertions about the covert advance of Communism within America’s borders.

This is why the lebensraum theories formulated by the main Fascist regimes pre-World War II were so weak on fact and consistency. 2,3 Shades here of the ‘Yellow Peril’ syndrome at the time of the Boxer Rising (1898–1900). 4 Emigration by Ibos from their 32 THE POVERTY OF STRA TEGY congested homeland, then the Eastern Region of Nigeria, caused a rise in communal tension and hence the dreadful Nigerian civil war of 1967–70. Throughout the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, both sides have sought to bolster their claims by keeping population growth up; and each has thereby made the other more fearful of ethnic cleansing.

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