Download Developing Resource-Informed Strategic Assessments and by Paul K. Davis, Stuart E. Johnson, Duncan Long, kavid C. PDF

By Paul K. Davis, Stuart E. Johnson, Duncan Long, kavid C. Gompert

A debate will most probably happen in 2009 approximately U.S. worldwide national-security technique. The authors describe and illustrate a strategy to aid body and review resource-informed ideas. The middle is an built-in portfolio-analysis strategy that compares strategies through their expected effectiveness, dangers, and source implications, 3 illustrative grand suggestions are in comparison, which deal in several methods with the issues of our time.

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Additional info for Developing Resource-Informed Strategic Assessments and Recommendations

Example text

However, it would be for an analytical group to assure that results were scaled in a way commensurate with the more quantitative measures used in the portfolio analysis. An attractive feature of this analytic approach is that it lends itself well to either deliberate analysis over many months or rapid-paced analysis. 9). Assuming expertise (the result of prior analysis and experience), structure, ruthless objectivity, and candor, such work might be better, not merely faster, than would be possible in a deliberate process with committees, logrolling, and the potential for missing the point by sticking too exclusively to on-the-shelf detailed work.

That is, the monograph is about decision support for top-level military and civilian leaders. This might suggest that our approach would be fully “top-down” in character. S. objectives and strategy and the central role of the military commands on which the burden for action must fall. Assessments of alternative military strategies, moreover, must reflect a level of analysis that may seem “bottom-up” to national authorities, even if it is seen as strategic and top-down by the individual commands.

For example, in the realm of personal finance, an individual’s investment portfolio may include stocks, bonds, real estate, and money-market funds. Such variety is customary because individuals have multiple objectives such as long-term capital gain, current income, and—important—protection against the risks posed by normal financial-market fluctuations. Managing risk has been a traditional core element of portfolio work. Our portfolio approach stems from the following principles: 1. Integration. We wish to be able to assess a strategy simultaneously for its likely effectiveness, risks, upside potential (not discussed in this monograph), and resource implications.

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