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A post-Castro communist regime will thus have to erect new mechanisms and policies if it is to survive for long, a task that will be further compounded by the structural problems that lie ahead for Cuba, as will be discussed below. The Democratic and Military Alternative A non-communist successor government, of course, would be less hobbled by the ideological strictures and political stances associated with the fidelista legacy. Such a government would have to maintain elements of the country’s social safety net in order to attract popular support.
Prior to 1989, Cuba had become so dependent economically upon the Soviet Union that its situation turned nearly catastrophic _____________ 15 At 7 deaths per 1,000 births in 1999, Cuba’s infant mortality rate is comparable to that of the developed world. Cuba also has by far the lowest HIV prevalence rate among adults in the Caribbean. 1 percent of the 15-to-49-year-old population in 2000. 1-percent rates. The New York Times, May 18, 2003, p. 10. 16 According to data compiled by Mesa-Lago (2003a, p.
But Castro is not the typical caudillo. Buttressed by Castro’s charismatic appeal, a popular, redistributive revolution that benefited the lot of the Cuban people, and Soviet economic and military assistance, Cuba developed a powerful state apparatus in the postRevolutionary period. Enjoying wide popular support even as it decimated civil society, Cuba’s new revolutionary government _____________ 1 This chapter is drawn from Edward Gonzalez (2004, Appendix A). 5 6 Cuba After Castro: Legacies, Challenges, and Impediments evolved into a single-party totalitarian state, starting in the mid1960s: It was guided by a ruling ideology that fused fidelismo with a radicalized version of Marxism that aimed at transforming Cuban society.